FC Masters
All picks
J2 League, Japan
Shonan Bellmare
Albirex Niigata

Strong pick

2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 4.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

35%Shonan Bellmare 24%Draw 40%Albirex Niigata

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.8Shonan Bellmare expected goals 2.2Albirex Niigata
Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 76%
Under 2.5 goals 24%
Under 3.5 goals 43%
Both teams score 75%
Home team scores 84%
Away team scores 88%

Safer ways to back a side

Shonan Bellmare or draw 60%
Albirex Niigata or draw 65%
Either team wins 76%

The numbers behind it

Shonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
1.8Scored per game1.9
1.5Conceded per game1.7
1.0Scored, last 51.4
29Games this season29

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.