3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

84% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

26%Yanbian Longding FC 33%Draw 41%Nantong Zhiyun

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Yanbian Longding FC expected goals 1.0Nantong Zhiyun

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 55%

Away team scores 64%

Yanbian Longding FC or draw 59%

Nantong Zhiyun or draw 74%

Either team wins 67%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.