Serie A, Brazil
Atletico-MG
Santos
Strong pick
2+ goals
On your slip: Over 1.5 goals
86%
sure
- 3.8goals expected in this match
- 49%chance Atletico-MG win
- 2.9goals a game these two score between them
Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.8 goals in this match.
Who wins?
49%Atletico-MG
24%Draw
27%Santos
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
2.2Atletico-MG
expected goals
1.6Santos
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
Under 3.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
72%
Home team scores
89%
Away team scores
81%
Safer ways to back a side
Atletico-MG or draw
73%
Santos or draw
51%
Either team wins
76%
The numbers behind it
| Atletico-MG | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Scored per game | 1.6 |
| 1.2 | Conceded per game | 1.5 |
| 2.2 | Scored, last 5 | 2.0 |
| 29 | Games this season | 29 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.